IF HORMUZ IS OPEN , WILL THE WAR AND US – ISRAEL REGIME AGGRESSION AGAINST IRAN STOPS

By
Mohd Azmi Abdul Hamid
MAPIM
24 March 2026

No. Reopening or keeping the Strait of Hormuz open would reduce one major trigger in the crisis, but it would not by itself stop the war or end US-Israel aggression against Iran.

Recent reporting shows Trump linked his threat to attack Iran’s power plants to Hormuz access, which means the strait is a key pressure point, but the fighting is already tied to broader military and political objectives beyond shipping.

Right now, even the premise is more complicated than a simple “open or closed” question. Iranian officials have said Hormuz is open to non-enemy shipping, while restricting or threatening ships linked to adversaries, and Reuters reported Iran warned that any attack on its southern coast or islands could lead to mine-laying and a full Gulf closure.

That means Hormuz is part of the escalation ladder, not the only cause of the war.

The stronger reading is this: if Hormuz is fully reopened, it could help lower oil-market panic, reduce pressure on Washington from allies and markets, and remove one immediate pretext for further strikes.

AP and Reuters both reported the global economic stakes are huge, with the IEA warning of a major threat to the world economy and around 20 percent of global oil flows affected by the disruption.

But it still would not guarantee peace, because the conflict now includes other issues: Iranian retaliation against Israeli and US-linked infrastructure, including threats tied to power facilities.

Israeli strikes continuing beyond the Hormuz issue.

US and Gulf-backed efforts at the UN to secure shipping with possible force, which shows the confrontation has already widened into security, sanctions, and military enforcement questions.

So the realistic answer is:

Hormuz open : may reduce escalation pressure.

Hormuz open : may weaken the immediate US justification for hitting Iranian energy targets.

Hormuz open : does not by itself end the war.
What would actually be needed is a broader de-escalation package: stop strikes, stop threats on civilian infrastructure, restore maritime access, and reopen diplomacy.

A strong way to put it politically is: Keeping Hormuz open may remove one fuse, but it does not extinguish the fire.